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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Rotherham United |
62.37% ( 0.72) | 22.26% ( -0.31) | 15.37% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 45.3% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.25% ( 0.53) | 51.74% ( -0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.48% ( 0.46) | 73.51% ( -0.46) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.92% ( 0.43) | 16.07% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.54% ( 0.78) | 45.46% ( -0.77) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.98% ( -0.23) | 46.02% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.26% ( -0.18) | 81.74% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Rotherham United |
1-0 @ 13.52% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.88% Total : 62.36% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.64% Total : 22.25% | 0-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.31% Total : 15.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
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