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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Sheff Weds

Ihiekwe (41' og.), Jones (73')
Greenwood (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vaulks (33'), Beadle (40'), Famewo (79'), Iorfa (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Middlesbrough
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Swansea
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday

Despite the difference in league positions, this has the makings of being a hard-fought contest. We fancy Wednesday to be competitive throughout, perhaps even leading at one stage, but Boro are playing with the kind of confidence that suggests that they could prevail through a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 60.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 17.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSheffield Wednesday
60.95% (0.139 0.14) 21.68% (-0.044 -0.04) 17.37% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 51.22% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (0.029999999999994 0.03)46.02% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67% (0.028000000000002 0.03)68.32% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38% (0.053000000000011 0.05)14.62% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.27% (0.103 0.1)42.72% (-0.105 -0.1)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.98% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)40.01% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.33% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)76.66% (0.088000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 60.94%
    Sheffield Wednesday 17.37%
    Draw 21.68%
MiddlesbroughDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 11.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.93% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.35% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.33% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.05% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.17% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 60.94%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 21.68%
0-1 @ 5.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 17.37%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Sheff Weds

Middlesbrough
82.8%
Draw
6.9%
Sheffield Wednesday
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Sheff Weds
1-1
Middlesbrough
Musaba (38')
Windass (31'), Byers (86')
Lenihan (53')
Jones (48')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Middlesbrough
3-1
Sheff Weds
Bolasie (20'), Coburn (73'), Watmore (81')
McNair (27')
Windass (39' pen.)
Dec 29, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 22
Sheff Weds
2-1
Middlesbrough
Paterson (30'), Shaw (40')
Bannan (45+3'), Palmer (88')
Watmore (49')
Saville (42'), Morsy (45+3')
Jul 22, 2020 7.30pm
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 9
Middlesbrough
1-4
Sheff Weds
McNair (19')
Clayton (5' og.), Iorfa (6'), Reach (23'), Fletcher (34')
Bannan (72'), Nuhiu (76'), Luongo (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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