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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
42.6% ( 0.15) | 24.83% ( 0.03) | 32.57% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 57.46% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.33% ( -0.22) | 45.67% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.01% ( -0.2) | 67.99% ( 0.2) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.53% ( -0.02) | 21.46% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.5% ( -0.03) | 54.49% ( 0.03) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.16% ( -0.22) | 26.84% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.86% ( -0.29) | 62.14% ( 0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.6% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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