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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Huddersfield Town | 46 | 17 | 82 |
4 | Nottingham Forest | 46 | 33 | 80 |
5 | Sheffield United | 46 | 18 | 75 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Stoke City | 46 | 5 | 62 |
15 | Swansea City | 46 | -10 | 61 |
16 | Blackpool | 46 | -4 | 60 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Swansea City |
58.74% | 22.96% | 18.3% |
Both teams to score 49.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.11% | 49.88% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.12% | 71.88% |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.33% | 16.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.47% | 46.53% |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.81% | 41.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.28% | 77.72% |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 12.29% 2-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 5.84% 4-0 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-2 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1.06% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.92% Total : 58.72% | 1-1 @ 10.91% 0-0 @ 6.86% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.96% | 0-1 @ 6.09% 1-2 @ 4.84% 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.96% Total : 18.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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