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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
City Ground
Swansea logo

Nott'm Forest
5 - 1
Swansea

Christie (22' og.), Surridge (48', 52', 69'), Mighten (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Obafemi (28')
Christie (24'), Latibeaudiere (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 QPR
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Nottingham Forest 3-1 Swansea City

While Swansea are playing well enough to push Forest all the way on Saturday, we cannot ignore the manner of some of their recent draws. With that in mind, Forest could take advantage, starting well and doing more than enough during the 90 minutes to claim another three vital points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawSwansea City
58.74%22.96%18.3%
Both teams to score 49.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.11%49.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.12%71.88%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33%16.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.47%46.53%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.81%41.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.28%77.72%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 58.72%
    Swansea City 18.3%
    Draw 22.96%
Nottingham ForestDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 12.29%
2-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 9.78%
3-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 5.84%
4-0 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-2 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 1.06%
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 58.72%
1-1 @ 10.91%
0-0 @ 6.86%
2-2 @ 4.34%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 22.96%
0-1 @ 6.09%
1-2 @ 4.84%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 18.3%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Swansea

Nottingham Forest
81.1%
Draw
13.5%
Swansea City
5.4%
37
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Swansea
1-4
Nott'm Forest
Piroe (62')
Downes (11'), Smith (31'), Cabango (55')
Zinckernagel (48'), Grabban (50'), Johnson (68'), Cafu (90+3')
Osei-Tutu (20'), Spence (55'), McKenna (66'), Cafu (90+4')
Feb 17, 2021 7pm
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Swansea
5-1
Nott'm Forest
Cullen (7', 67'), Grimes (29', 60' pen.), Cooper (85')
Dhanda (90+1')
Knockaert (56')
Jenkinson (10'), Worrall (69')
Nov 29, 2020 12pm
Nott'm Forest
0-1
Swansea

Arter (51'), Figueiredo (74'), McKenna (78'), Taylor (90+2')
Roberts (43')
Woodman (87'), Fulton (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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