Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.