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Championship | Gameweek 20
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Birmingham logo

Stoke
1 - 2
Birmingham

Baker (75' pen.)
Sterling (9'), Thompson (57'), Fox (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hogan (13'), Dean (67')
Jutkiewicz (8'), Bielik (31'), Chong (75'), Sanderson (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Stoke
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Millwall
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Birmingham City

Stoke are enduring an indifferent start to their Championship campaign and will be looking to improve their home form in order to climb up the standings, starting with a positive result against Birmingham. Birmingham have been a hard nut to crack for most opponents so far this season and will be confident in collecting at least a point on their travels this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
49.36% (0.118 0.12) 26.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 24.16% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 46.74% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.04% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)56.96% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.14% (-0.058 -0.06)77.86% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (0.022000000000006 0.02)23.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.98% (0.031999999999996 0.03)57.02% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.83% (-0.147 -0.15)39.17% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.12% (-0.136 -0.14)75.89% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 49.36%
    Birmingham City 24.16%
    Draw 26.47%
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 13.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.1%
3-0 @ 4.73% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 49.36%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.07% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 24.16%

How you voted: Stoke vs Birmingham

Stoke City
46.9%
Draw
40.6%
Birmingham City
12.5%
32
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Oct 4, 2020 3pm
Stoke
1-1
Birmingham
Powell (86')
Chester (56'), Fox (83'), Clucas (85')
Dean (65')
Clayton (87')
Jul 12, 2020 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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