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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Reading had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Reading |
66.56% ( -0.35) | 19.96% ( 0.17) | 13.48% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 47.62% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.93% ( -0.35) | 46.07% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.63% ( -0.33) | 68.37% ( 0.34) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.06% ( -0.21) | 12.93% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.61% ( -0.42) | 39.39% ( 0.42) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.7% ( 0.05) | 45.3% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.83% ( 0.04) | 81.17% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Reading |
2-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 66.55% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 19.96% | 0-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.24% Total : 13.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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