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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 4
Apr 5, 2024 at 8.30am UK
Changchun's People Stadium

Changchun
1 - 2
Sh. Shenhua

Long (37')
Yaopeng (30'), Beric (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jiang (25'), Carlos Teixeira (90+9')
Amadou (57')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Shanghai Shenhua.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Changchun 0-1 Tianjin Jinmen
Sunday, March 31 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shandong 0-3 Sh. Shenhua
Sunday, March 31 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 50.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 23.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.

Result
Changchun YataiDrawShanghai Shenhua
23.98% (0.201 0.2) 25.85% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 50.17% (-0.244 -0.24)
Both teams to score 48.31% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.18% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)54.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.88% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)76.12% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.85% (0.186 0.19)38.15% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.09% (0.177 0.18)74.91% (-0.173 -0.17)
Shanghai Shenhua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.11% (-0.105 -0.11)21.89% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.86% (-0.161 -0.16)55.14% (0.165 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Changchun Yatai 23.98%
    Shanghai Shenhua 50.17%
    Draw 25.84%
Changchun YataiDrawShanghai Shenhua
1-0 @ 8.05% (0.042 0.04)
2-1 @ 5.89% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.88% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.89% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.44% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.25% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 23.98%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 12.68% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 9.64% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.88% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.7% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.85% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 50.17%

Head to Head
Jul 22, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 18
Changchun
1-1
Sh. Shenhua
Cheng (8')
Jiang (53')
Yang (73')
Apr 26, 2023 12.35pm
Nov 3, 2022 7.30am
Aug 5, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 11
Sh. Shenhua
0-0
Changchun
Aidi (7'), Jiajun (33'), Bolanos (45'), Zhang (83')
Aidi (27'), Yang (67')
Hui (90+5')
Aug 6, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 12
Sh. Shenhua
1-2
Changchun
Jonjic (7')
Negrao (79', 86')
rhs 2.0
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