MX23RW : Saturday, September 21 00:19:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
Chinese Super League | Gameweek 16
Jul 11, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Dalian University Stadium
Henan

Chengdu Qianbao
2 - 0
Henan

Chow (51'), Xin (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mierzejewski (54'), Cao (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Chinese Super League clash between Chengdu Qianbao and Henan Songshan Longmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shandong 2-2 Chengdu Qianbao
Tuesday, August 8 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 0-1 Shandong
Friday, July 7 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 Henan Songshan Longmen

Chengdu Rongcheng were unlucky in their last match, as the early dismissal of their goalkeeper evidently affected their game plan and the outcome of the match. With a full team and against a Henan side that have been very poor on the road this season, we fancy that the hosts will come out on top in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.

Result
Chengdu QianbaoDrawHenan Songshan Longmen
50.24% (-0.411 -0.41) 25.97% (0.251 0.25) 23.79% (0.162 0.16)
Both teams to score 47.77% (-0.539 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.57% (-0.793 -0.79)55.43% (0.797 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.37% (-0.654 -0.65)76.63% (0.657 0.66)
Chengdu Qianbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88% (-0.506 -0.51)22.12% (0.508 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.52% (-0.76799999999999 -0.77)55.48% (0.771 0.77)
Henan Songshan Longmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.34% (-0.291 -0.29)38.66% (0.295 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.6% (-0.278 -0.28)75.4% (0.28 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Chengdu Qianbao 50.24%
    Henan Songshan Longmen 23.79%
    Draw 25.97%
Chengdu QianbaoDrawHenan Songshan Longmen
1-0 @ 12.9% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 9.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.9% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 50.24%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.55% (0.26 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.184 0.18)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 23.79%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 1
Henan
1-1
Chengdu Qianbao
Miao (28')
Dec 5, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 29
Henan
0-1
Chengdu Qianbao
Saldanha (90+9')
Sep 25, 2022 1pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shanghai PortShanghai Port25213183236066
2Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua25204164154964
3Chengdu RongchengChengdu25164558253352
4Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan26137647321546
5Shandong TaishanShandong2510783634237
6Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen2510693834436
7Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang25102134450-632
8HenanHenan2587103035-531
9Changchun YataiChangchun2576123644-827
10Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT2576122938-927
11Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou2576122950-2127
12Qingdao Hainiu2575132645-1926
13Qingdao Youth Island2567123348-1525
14Sichuan JiuniuSichuan2566132245-2324
15Meizhou Hakka2658132751-2423
16Nantong Zhiyun2536162558-3315


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!