MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 21:09:49| >> :600:2779037:2779037:
Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Estadio Municipal de A Malata
Sevilla logo

Racing de Ferrol
1 - 2
Sevilla

Manzanara (50')
Manzanara (66'), Parralo (67'), Gimenez (82'), Delgado (90+2')
Manzanara (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Marcao (30'), Sanchez (87')
Marcao (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa del Rey clash between Racing Club de Ferrol and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing Club de Ferrol

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Valladolid 0-1 Racing de Ferrol
Thursday, December 21 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division

Sevilla

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Sevilla 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, January 4 at 6.15pm in La Liga

We said: Racing Club de Ferrol 2-1 Sevilla

 Even though they are out of Europe, Sevilla's focus may be on averting relegation fears in La Liga, and an out-of-sorts set of players may struggle against one of the strongest sides in the second tier. Ferrol have been exceptional at home this season, but this would be by far their best result yet, and with not much separating the sides in the league pyramid, there is nothing to suggest why they cannot pull it off. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
Racing Club de FerrolDrawSevilla
36.11% (-0.164 -0.16) 26.22% (0.111 0.11) 37.66% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.46% (-0.378 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.85% (-0.478 -0.48)51.14% (0.48 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.01% (-0.421 -0.42)72.99% (0.423 0.42)
Racing Club de Ferrol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (-0.324 -0.32)27.33% (0.326 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (-0.422 -0.42)62.78% (0.425 0.43)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (-0.19 -0.19)26.43% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.4% (-0.256 -0.26)61.6% (0.257 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Racing Club de Ferrol 36.11%
    Sevilla 37.66%
    Draw 26.22%
Racing Club de FerrolDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 36.11%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.138 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 9.61% (0.132 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.39% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.66%

How you voted: Racing de Ferrol vs Sevilla

Racing Club de Ferrol
40.0%
Draw
13.3%
Sevilla
46.7%
15
rhs 2.0
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