Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 4, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
Barcelona0 - 2Palmeiras
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Barcelona SC and Palmeiras.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Corinthians
Saturday, April 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
Result | ||
Barcelona SC | Draw | Palmeiras |
26.94% ( -0.41) | 25.84% ( -0.19) | 47.22% ( 0.6) |
Both teams to score 50.96% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.33% ( 0.49) | 52.66% ( -0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.69% ( 0.42) | 74.31% ( -0.42) |
Barcelona SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.58% ( -0.07) | 34.42% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.87% ( -0.07) | 71.13% ( 0.07) |
Palmeiras Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.7% ( 0.48) | 22.29% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.24% ( 0.71) | 55.76% ( -0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona SC 26.94%
Palmeiras 47.22%
Draw 25.84%
Barcelona SC | Draw | Palmeiras |
1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.94% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.18% Total : 47.22% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-10 11:40:38
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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