Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 28, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo
Catolica2 - 3Flamengo
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Universidad Catolica and Flamengo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Catolica 0-1 Talleres
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Catolica vs. Sao Paulo
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Flamengo
Thursday, June 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, June 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Internacional vs. Flamengo
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Ceara | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Flamengo | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | Botafogo | 10 | -3 | 12 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 54.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 1-0 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Universidad Catolica | Draw | Flamengo |
| 21.3% | 24.26% | 54.43% |
| Both teams to score 49.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
