Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 6, 2023 at 1am UK
Estádio Raimundo Sampaio
America Mineiro4 - 1Penarol
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between America Mineiro and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-1 Atletico GO
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Nacional
Saturday, April 1 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, April 1 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| America Mineiro | Draw | Penarol |
54.02% ( -0.09) | 23.84% ( 0.02) | 22.13% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.17% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
