Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Nov 25, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Independiente1 - 0Boca Juniors
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Independiente and Boca Juniors.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 36.39%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 36.39% | 28.51% | 35.1% |
| Both teams to score 46.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
