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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Nov 29, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril
Atletico Tucuman

Union
3 - 0
Tucuman

Manuel Garcia (34' pen., 40', 53')
Carlos Portillo (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bustos (25'), Carrera (51'), Erbes (52'), Cabral (76'), Ruiz (83')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Union and Atletico Tucuman.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 23.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.

Result
UnionDrawAtletico Tucuman
50.63%25.63%23.74%
Both teams to score 48.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.78%54.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.37%75.62%
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.55%21.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.53%54.46%
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.96%38.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.2%74.8%
Score Analysis
    Union 50.62%
    Atletico Tucuman 23.74%
    Draw 25.63%
UnionDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 12.55%
2-0 @ 9.67%
2-1 @ 9.35%
3-0 @ 4.96%
3-1 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1.85%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 50.62%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 8.16%
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 7.89%
1-2 @ 5.87%
0-2 @ 3.81%
1-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 23.74%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2019 12.10am
Gameweek 13
Union
0-1
Tucuman

Bottinelli (70'), Gomez (74')
Bottinelli (85')
Diaz (29')
Ortiz (40'), Gissi (51'), Acosta (64')
Feb 15, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 19
Union
3-0
Tucuman
Fragapane (12', 40'), Pitton (80')
rhs 2.0
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