Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Jan 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina1 - 0Sampdoria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, January 7 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, January 7 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-2 Napoli
Sunday, January 8 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, January 8 at 5pm in Serie A
We said: Fiorentina 2-0 Sampdoria
Given these two sides' respective league positions, we expect Fiorentina to take this cup tie much more seriously and produce a comfortable victory to reach the quarter-finals of this competition for the 11th time in 13 seasons. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Sampdoria |
62.76% ( -0.34) | 20.12% ( 0.03) | 17.12% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 56% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
