Coupe de France | Round of 16
Jan 28, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Nantes2 - 0Brest
We said: Nantes 2-1 Brest
Both sides have the momentum of a win at the weekend to work with, but Nantes have home advantage and an impressive recent record against Les Pirates. Therefore, we are backing them to secure a spot in the quarter-finals, albeit by a narrow margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Brest had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Brest |
| 43.6% | 25.72% | 30.68% |
| Both teams to score 53.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
