DFL-Supercup | DFL Supercup
Sep 30, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Bayern3 - 2Dortmund
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 52.58%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.42%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
52.58% | 21.09% | 26.33% |
Both teams to score 66.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.38% | 31.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.87% | 53.12% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.61% | 12.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.74% | 38.26% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.23% | 23.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.08% | 57.92% |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich 52.58%
Borussia Dortmund 26.33%
Draw 21.09%
Bayern Munich | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 9.23% 3-1 @ 6.42% 2-0 @ 6.42% 1-0 @ 6.15% 3-2 @ 4.62% 3-0 @ 4.47% 4-1 @ 3.35% 4-2 @ 2.41% 4-0 @ 2.33% 5-1 @ 1.4% 4-3 @ 1.15% 5-2 @ 1.01% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.64% Total : 52.58% | 1-1 @ 8.84% 2-2 @ 6.63% 0-0 @ 2.94% 3-3 @ 2.21% Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.09% | 1-2 @ 6.35% 0-1 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 3.18% 1-3 @ 3.04% 0-2 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.14% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.81% Total : 26.33% |
Head to Head
May 26, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Dortmund
0-1
Bayern
Nov 9, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Bayern
4-0
Dortmund
Aug 3, 2019 7.30pm
Apr 6, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bayern
5-0
Dortmund
Nov 10, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Dortmund
3-2
Bayern
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-04 13:33:43
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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