EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium
Accrington1 - 0Carlisle
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One
We said: Accrington Stanley 2-1 Carlisle United
Despite these two sides competing in different divisions, the reality is that there is little to split them in terms of individual quality, meaning the hosts will fancy their chances of beginning this season's competition with a victory. Stanley made it all the way to the semi-finals last time out, compared to Carlisle who finished rock-bottom of their group, so we will back the hosts to earn a narrow victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Carlisle United |
30.42% ( 0.05) | 25.52% ( 0.25) | 44.05% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 54.18% ( -0.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.49% ( -1.04) | 49.51% ( 1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.45% ( -0.94) | 71.54% ( 0.94) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.84% ( -0.49) | 30.16% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.69% ( -0.59) | 66.31% ( 0.59) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.58% ( -0.58) | 22.42% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.06% ( -0.87) | 55.94% ( 0.87) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley 30.42%
Carlisle United 44.05%
Draw 25.51%
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 30.42% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.23% Total : 44.05% |
How you voted: Accrington vs Carlisle
Accrington Stanley
71.4%Draw
19.0%Carlisle United
9.5%21
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2017 3pm
Jan 21, 2017 3pm
Sep 3, 2016 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-18 02:10:10
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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