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Carlisle United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 31, 2021 at 7pm UK
Brunton Park
Hartlepool United

Carlisle
3 - 3
Hartlepool

Charters (11'), Mampala (59'), Abrahams (78')
Mampala (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Daly (18'), Molyneux (81'), Olomola (89' pen.)
Daly (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Carlisle United and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawHartlepool United
35.17%26.1%38.74%
Both teams to score 53.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.32%50.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.42%72.58%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.33%27.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.78%63.22%
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.38%25.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.49%60.51%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 35.17%
    Hartlepool United 38.74%
    Draw 26.09%
Carlisle UnitedDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 9.11%
2-1 @ 7.97%
2-0 @ 5.85%
3-1 @ 3.41%
3-0 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.17%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.09%
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 9.65%
1-2 @ 8.45%
0-2 @ 6.57%
1-3 @ 3.83%
0-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.46%
1-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 38.74%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Hartlepool

Carlisle United
51.4%
Draw
25.7%
Hartlepool United
22.9%
35
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Hartlepool
2-1
Carlisle
Burey (13'), Holohan (69')
Liddle (87')
Clough (38')
Clough (3'), Guy (67')
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Hartlepool
1-1
Carlisle
Oates (64')
Donnelly (81')
Ibehre (7')
Joyce (19'), Proctor (43'), Ibehre (78'), Devitt (85')
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
Carlisle
3-2
Hartlepool
Ibehre (20'), Grainger (68'), Raynes (79')
Miller (29'), Grainger (63')
Miller (56')
Alessandra (66'), Amond (75')
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
Aug 29, 2015 3pm
Hartlepool
2-3
Carlisle
Harrison (6'), Paynter (70' pen.)
Ibehre (57', 84'), Miller (76')
Miller (41'), Rigg (56'), Ibehre (62'), Archibald-Henville (68'), Kennedy (70')
rhs 2.0
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