Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 63.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s had a probability of 15.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.