EFL Trophy | Third Round
Dec 13, 2022 at 7pm UK
Fratton Park
Portsmouth3 - 0Stevenage
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Portsmouth
Sunday, December 4 at 12.30pm in League One
Sunday, December 4 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Mansfield
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Stevenage
With five of their last six home games in all competitions finishing all square, we think that Pompey will play out another draw on Tuesday against Stevenage, which would send the last-16 tie to penalties. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Stevenage |
41.24% ( 0.09) | 25.88% ( 0.02) | 32.87% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 54% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.8% ( -0.13) | 50.2% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.84% ( -0.11) | 72.16% ( 0.11) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.91% ( -0.01) | 24.09% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.62% ( -0.01) | 58.38% ( 0.02) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.13% ( -0.14) | 28.86% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.27% ( -0.17) | 64.73% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth 41.24%
Stevenage 32.87%
Draw 25.88%
Portsmouth | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.24% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.87% |
How you voted: Portsmouth vs Stevenage
Portsmouth
56.7%Draw
40.0%Stevenage
3.3%30
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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