Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Heerenveen |
59.73% ( -1.25) | 21.42% ( 0.13) | 18.85% ( 1.12) |
Both teams to score 54.93% ( 1.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.51% ( 1.23) | 42.49% ( -1.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.1% ( 1.22) | 64.9% ( -1.22) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.16% ( 0.02) | 13.84% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.78% ( 0.03) | 41.22% ( -0.03) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.76% ( 1.98) | 36.24% ( -1.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.97% ( 1.96) | 73.03% ( -1.96) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.54) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.53) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.06% Total : 59.73% | 1-1 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.41% | 1-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 5.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.63% Total : 18.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |