Following Thursday's stalemate, FC Twente and Sparta Rotterdam have now played out three draws this season, although the Tukkers could – and probably should – have defeated De Kasteelheren last time out.
Sunday's showdown looks destined to be another closely-fought battle, but we expect Twente to edge Sparta this time around, as the Pride of the East have won 16 of their 22 home games this term.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
0.26) 
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