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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.51%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 23.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Cambuur |
54.51% | 21.74% | 23.75% |
Both teams to score 61.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.55% | 37.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.33% | 59.67% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.21% | 13.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.9% | 41.1% |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.19% | 28.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.34% | 64.66% |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Cambuur |
2-1 @ 9.7% 1-0 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 7.8% 3-1 @ 6.41% 3-0 @ 5.15% 3-2 @ 3.99% 4-1 @ 3.18% 4-0 @ 2.55% 4-2 @ 1.98% 5-1 @ 1.26% 5-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.61% Total : 54.51% | 1-1 @ 9.79% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 3.97% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.74% | 1-2 @ 6.09% 0-1 @ 4.94% 0-2 @ 3.08% 1-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.33% Total : 23.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 6 | 29 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 22 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 22 |
4 | Feyenoord | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 19 |
5 | FC Twente | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 18 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 17 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 15 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 14 |
10 | Willem II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
11 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 11 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 10 |
14 | Groningen | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 9 |
15 | Heracles | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 8 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 28 | -20 | 1 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |