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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 74.76%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 10.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Volendam |
74.76% ( 1.68) | 15.12% ( -0.6) | 10.12% ( -1.08) |
Both teams to score 53.97% ( -1.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.82% ( -0.32) | 32.18% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.22% ( -0.38) | 53.78% ( 0.37) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.74% ( 0.26) | 7.26% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.69% ( 0.68) | 26.31% ( -0.69) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.2% ( -2.15) | 41.8% ( 2.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.74% ( -1.94) | 78.26% ( 1.94) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.45) 3-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 7.96% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.42) 4-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.21) 5-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.26) 5-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.13) 6-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.59% Total : 74.75% | 1-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.12% | 1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.13% Total : 10.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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