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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 55.42%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 22.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
55.42% ( 0.65) | 22.18% ( -0.24) | 22.4% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 58% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.9% ( 0.61) | 41.1% ( -0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.51% ( 0.61) | 63.49% ( -0.61) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.26% ( 0.42) | 14.74% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.04% ( 0.81) | 42.95% ( -0.8) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.02% ( -0.03) | 31.97% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.56% ( -0.03) | 68.43% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.05) Other @ 3% Total : 55.42% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.17% | 1-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.57% Total : 22.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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