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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 82.23%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 6.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.74%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (2.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
82.23% ( -0.13) | 11.01% ( 0.02) | 6.76% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 56% ( 0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.35% ( 0.41) | 22.65% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
58.21% ( 0.56) | 41.78% ( -0.56) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.93% ( 0.05) | 4.06% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.93% ( 0.18) | 17.06% ( -0.18) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.37% ( 0.66) | 41.62% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.89% ( 0.57) | 78.11% ( -0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
3-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.07) 6-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.05) 7-0 @ 1.16% ( 0) 7-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) 6-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.15% Total : 82.23% | 1-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 11.01% | 1-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.23% Total : 6.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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