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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 22.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Groningen |
54.54% ( -0.08) | 23.05% ( 0.07) | 22.41% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 55.08% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.03% ( -0.31) | 44.97% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.68% ( -0.3) | 67.32% ( 0.3) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.61% ( -0.14) | 16.39% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.97% ( -0.25) | 46.02% ( 0.25) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.88% ( -0.17) | 34.12% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.19% ( -0.18) | 70.81% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Groningen |
1-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 54.54% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.04% | 0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.17% Total : 22.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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