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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 53.27%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | FC Twente |
24.35% ( 1.38) | 22.38% ( 1.2) | 53.27% ( -2.58) |
Both teams to score 59.79% ( -2.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.14% ( -4.17) | 39.86% ( 4.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.78% ( -4.46) | 62.22% ( 4.46) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.35% ( -1.18) | 29.65% ( 1.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.3% ( -1.45) | 65.69% ( 1.45) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.98% ( -2.22) | 15.02% ( 2.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.51% ( -4.39) | 43.49% ( 4.39) |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.33) 1-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.84) 2-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.15% Total : 24.35% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.85) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.81) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.95) 0-2 @ 8% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 6.15% ( -0.48) 0-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.43) 1-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.49) 0-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.32) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.37) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.3) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.05% Total : 53.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |