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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
39.34% | 24.7% | 35.96% |
Both teams to score 58.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.66% | 44.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.28% | 66.72% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.54% | 22.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44% | 56% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.77% | 24.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.42% | 58.58% |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 8.6% 1-0 @ 8.13% 2-0 @ 6.07% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 3.04% 3-0 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.34% Total : 39.34% | 1-1 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 8.17% 0-1 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 3.86% 2-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.58% 1-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.98% Total : 35.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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