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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
17 | Willem II | 33 | -28 | 30 |
18 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | -25 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 88.49%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 3.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 4-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.76%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (1.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Willem II |
88.49% | 8.03% | 3.47% |
Both teams to score 43.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.22% | 23.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.67% | 43.33% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.65% | 3.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
85.28% | 14.72% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.47% | 54.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.4% | 87.6% |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Willem II |
3-0 @ 11.95% 2-0 @ 10.54% 4-0 @ 10.16% 3-1 @ 7.25% 5-0 @ 6.91% 2-1 @ 6.4% 1-0 @ 6.2% 4-1 @ 6.16% 5-1 @ 4.19% 6-0 @ 3.92% 6-1 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.2% 7-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.87% 5-2 @ 1.27% 7-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 4.04% Total : 88.49% | 1-1 @ 3.76% 2-2 @ 1.94% 0-0 @ 1.82% Other @ 0.51% Total : 8.03% | 1-2 @ 1.14% 0-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.23% Total : 3.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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