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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
39.6% | 24.11% | 36.29% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 60.98% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.54% ( -0) | 41.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.14% ( -0) | 63.86% ( -0) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.92% ( -0) | 21.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.11% | 53.89% ( -0) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.27% ( -0) | 22.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.59% ( -0) | 56.4% |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-1 @ 8.6% 1-0 @ 7.46% 2-0 @ 5.81% 3-1 @ 4.47% 3-2 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.74% Total : 39.6% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 6.37% 0-0 @ 4.79% 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 5.26% 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |