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Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Emmen

Sparta
3 - 1
Emmen

van Crooij (13'), Vriends (82'), Engels (90+5')
Abels (21'), Lauritsen (47'), Verschueren (90+1'), Engels (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Romeny (51')
Araujo (61'), Assehnoun (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Emmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-2 Sparta
Sunday, October 2 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Emmen 0-0 Heerenveen
Sunday, October 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 Emmen

Emmen have been toothless in attack all season long and have scored the fewest number of goals in the Eredivisie so far. While we expect them to get on the scoresheet here, we are also backing Sparta to narrowly come away with all three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawEmmen
40.25% (0.066000000000003 0.07) 26.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 33.16% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 51.78% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.92% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)53.08% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.34% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)74.66% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (0.031999999999996 0.03)25.91% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.1% (0.042999999999999 0.04)60.9% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Emmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)30.11% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (-0.058 -0.06)66.25% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 40.24%
    Emmen 33.16%
    Draw 26.59%
Sparta RotterdamDrawEmmen
1-0 @ 10.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.85% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 40.24%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 7.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 33.16%

How you voted: Sparta vs Emmen

Sparta Rotterdam
89.5%
Draw
10.5%
Emmen
0.0%
19
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2021 7pm
Emmen
1-1
Sparta
De Leeuw (90+6' pen.)
Verrips (78'), Laursen (90+4')
Duarte (43')
Kharchouch (90+3')
Dec 4, 2020 7pm
Sparta
2-1
Emmen
Duarte (22'), Harroui (58')
Gravenberch (80')
Araujo (52')
Pena (5'), Jansen (6'), Ben Moussa (79')
Mar 1, 2020 3.45pm
Sparta
5-1
Emmen
Joosten (2'), Rayhi (29'), Vriends (32'), Araujo (81' og.), Harroui (86')
De Leeuw (54')
Ben Moussa (37'), Chacon (75')
Dec 15, 2019 11.15am
Emmen
2-0
Sparta
Pena (18' pen.), De Leeuw (29' pen.)
Veendorp (37')

Auassar (50'), Dervisoglu (86')
May 20, 2018 1.30pm
Sparta
1-3
Emmen
Spierings (28')
Fischer (43'), Vriends (70'), Dervisoglu (84')
Dougall (87')
Chacon (38'), Jansen (59'), Bannink (66')
Loen (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


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