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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
PSV

Sparta
0 - 4
PSV


de Guzman (45+1'), Brym (45+1'), Neghli (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tillman (51'), Bakayoko (59'), Vertessen (80'), de Jong (88')
Dest (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 2-1 Sparta
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-2 Sevilla
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven are unbeaten in their last 11 matches against Sparta Rotterdam, and they have made a very promising start to the campaign, winning their opening seven Eredivisie games. As such, the visitors should have no problem securing a relatively comfortable victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 20.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawPSV Eindhoven
20.15% (0.348 0.35) 22.06% (0.352 0.35) 57.79% (-0.693 -0.69)
Both teams to score 55.03% (-0.595 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.55% (-1.069 -1.07)43.45% (1.073 1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.16% (-1.058 -1.06)65.84% (1.064 1.06)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.56% (-0.259 -0.26)35.44% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.8% (-0.272 -0.27)72.2% (0.27699999999999 0.28)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (-0.572 -0.57)14.77% (0.579 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.98% (-1.113 -1.11)43.02% (1.118 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 20.15%
    PSV Eindhoven 57.78%
    Draw 22.06%
Sparta RotterdamDrawPSV Eindhoven
1-0 @ 5.43% (0.214 0.21)
2-1 @ 5.39% (0.066 0.07)
2-0 @ 2.82% (0.092 0.09)
3-1 @ 1.86% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 0.97% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 20.15%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 5.23% (0.243 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.06%
0-1 @ 10.01% (0.264 0.26)
1-2 @ 9.93% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.57% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 6.33% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 6.1% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-4 @ 3.03% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-4 @ 2.92% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-5 @ 1.16% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-5 @ 1.12% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 57.78%

How you voted: Sparta vs PSV

Sparta Rotterdam
15.8%
Draw
0.0%
PSV Eindhoven
84.2%
19
Head to Head
May 6, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 31
Sparta
0-1
PSV
El Ghazi (74')
Jan 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
PSV
0-0
Sparta
Feb 27, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 22
Sparta
1-2
PSV
Thy (32')
de Kamps (39'), van Crooij (62'), Engels (63'), Beugelsdijk (90+5'), Meijers (90+6')
Verschueren (54')
Junior (59'), Doan (67')
Max (20'), Teze (38'), Sangare (38')
Oct 3, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 8
PSV
2-1
Sparta
Sangare (82'), Thomas (86')
Sangare (45+1')
Thy (90')
Abels (65'), Okoye (79')
Jan 16, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 17
Sparta
3-5
PSV
Smeets (4'), Gravenberch (75'), Kharchouch (87' pen.)
Beugelsdijk (45+2')
Junior (24'), Malen (47', 90+3'), Madueke (49'), Max (71')
Thomas (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


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