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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 64.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 14.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
64.4% ( -0.88) | 20.67% ( 0.4) | 14.94% ( 0.49) |
Both teams to score 49.09% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.91% ( -0.75) | 46.09% ( 0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.61% ( -0.71) | 68.39% ( 0.72) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.42% ( -0.49) | 13.58% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.31% ( -1) | 40.69% ( 1) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.81% ( 0.23) | 43.19% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.55% ( 0.19) | 79.45% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
1-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.76% Total : 64.4% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.67% | 0-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.51% Total : 14.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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