MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 23:14:13| >> :60:604:604:
Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Basel
Europa Conference League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Fiorentina logo

Basel
1 - 3
Fiorentina

Amdouni (55')
Burger (90')
FT
(aet)
Gonzalez (35', 72'), Barak (120+9')
Julio (21'), Ranieri (59'), Gonzalez (89'), Ikone (95'), Italiano (98'), Bonaventura (104'), Barak (120+10')

The Match

Match Report

Fiorentina score with almost the last kick of extra time to defeat Basel 3-1 (4-3 on aggregate) and set up a Europa Conference League final against West Ham United.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Basel and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: St Gallen 6-1 Basel
Sunday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Fiorentina

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Udinese
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Basel had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%).

Result
BaselDrawFiorentina
28.5% (0.848 0.85) 24.12% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 47.38% (-0.778 -0.78)
Both teams to score 57.66% (0.872 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.58% (0.859 0.86)44.42% (-0.86 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.21% (0.827 0.83)66.79% (-0.82899999999999 -0.83)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08% (1.055 1.06)28.92% (-1.056 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.2% (1.289 1.29)64.8% (-1.291 -1.29)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.12% (0.022999999999996 0.02)18.88% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.64% (0.039000000000001 0.04)50.36% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Basel 28.5%
    Fiorentina 47.38%
    Draw 24.12%
BaselDrawFiorentina
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.155 0.16)
1-0 @ 6.77% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.2% (0.09 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.9% (0.145 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.123 0.12)
3-0 @ 1.74% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 28.5%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.133 0.13)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.12%
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 9.1% (-0.337 -0.34)
0-2 @ 7.59% (-0.275 -0.27)
1-3 @ 5.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.22% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-3 @ 3.25% (0.077 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.76% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.35% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 47.38%

How you voted: Basel vs Fiorentina

Basel
42.0%
Draw
14.3%
Fiorentina
43.8%
112
Head to Head
May 11, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Fiorentina
1-2
Basel
Cabral (25')
Diouf (71'), Amdouni (90+2')
Nuhu (59'), Vogel (67'), Burger (72'), Ndoye (78')
Nov 26, 2015 6pm
Group Stage
Basel
2-2
Fiorentina
Suchy (40'), Elneny (74')
Safari (22'), Bjarnason (26'), Janko (45'), Suchy (65'), Zuffi (78')
Bernardeschi (23', 36')
Rodriguez (45'), Badelj (45'), Valero (75')
Roncaglia (26')
> Match Report
Sep 17, 2015 8.05pm
Group Stage
Fiorentina
1-2
Basel
Kalinic (3')
Roncaglia (35')
Rodriguez (65')
Bjarnason (71'), Elneny (79')
Xhaka (34'), Suchy (57'), Janko (83')
> Match Report
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