Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 6.15pm UK
Yaakov Turner Toto Stadium
Be'er Sheva3 - 1Lugano
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Hapoel Be'er Sheva and Lugano.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lugano 0-2 Be'er Sheva
Thursday, August 4 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 4 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lugano 1-2 Luzern
Sunday, August 7 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Sunday, August 7 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Luzern | 3 | 1 | 5 |
7 | Lugano | 4 | 0 | 3 |
8 | Basel | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.
Result | ||
Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Lugano |
45.11% ( 0.05) | 23.62% ( -0.04) | 31.26% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 61.13% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.4% ( 0.17) | 40.59% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.02% ( 0.18) | 62.98% ( -0.17) |
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.71% ( 0.09) | 18.29% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.64% ( 0.15) | 49.36% ( -0.15) |
Lugano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.81% ( 0.08) | 25.18% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.09% ( 0.11) | 59.91% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Hapoel Be'er Sheva 45.11%
Lugano 31.26%
Draw 23.62%
Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Lugano |
2-1 @ 9.17% 1-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.62% Total : 45.11% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.26% |
How you voted: Be'er Sheva vs Lugano
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
91.7%Draw
0.0%Lugano
8.3%12
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2022 7pm
Lugano
0-2
Be'er Sheva
Bottani (8'), Arigoni (35')
Nov 23, 2017 6pm
Sep 14, 2017 8.05pm
Group G
Be'er Sheva
2-1
Lugano
Einbinder (2'), Tzedek (60' pen.)
Taha (55')
Taha (55')
Tzedek (67' og.)
Rouiller (24'), Golemic (59')
Rouiller (24'), Golemic (59')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-01 15:57:33
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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