Nice have struggled to find the back of the net, but they have been a lot better when it comes to shutting down the opposition, conceding a goal or fewer in nine of their last 12 matches in all competitions.
The Serbs have been much sharper in the attacking third, although many of those goals have come against some poor defensive units, while they seem to have created a mental block for themselves against French sides.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 46.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Partizan had a probability of 26.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Partizan win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
-0.1) 
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