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Europa League
Nantes
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Freiburg logo

Nantes
0 - 4
Freiburg

FT(HT: 0-1)
Kubler (26'), Gregoritsch (71'), Castelletto (82' og.), Woo-yeong (87')
Hofler (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Nantes and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Rennes 3-0 Nantes
Sunday, October 9 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Freiburg

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-2 Freiburg
Sunday, October 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Nantes 1-2 Freiburg

 On current form it is hard to see beyond Freiburg retaining their 100% record in the Europa League this season, even if Nantes are likely to be a tougher nut to crack on home soil. The hosts are on a desperate run of results right now and Kombouare is facing significant pressure, especially after losing the Derby Breton on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawFreiburg
31.53% (0.123 0.12) 27.49% (0.0039999999999978 0) 40.98% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 48.58% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.07% (0.019999999999996 0.02)56.93% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)77.84% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.82% (0.097000000000008 0.1)33.18% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.22% (0.107 0.11)69.78% (-0.104 -0.1)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)27.29% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.26% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)62.74% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 31.53%
    Freiburg 40.99%
    Draw 27.48%
NantesDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 9.99% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.16% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.51% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.63% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.03% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.53%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 9.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 11.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.64% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.31% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 40.99%

How you voted: Nantes vs Freiburg

Nantes
19.6%
Draw
14.1%
Freiburg
66.3%
163
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 8pm
Group G
Freiburg
2-0
Nantes
Kyereh (48'), Grifo (72')
Sildillia (66')
rhs 2.0
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