Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Joseph Mariën
Union SG3 - 2Malmo
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ceesay (6'), Kiese Thelin (57')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union SG 1-2 Genk
Sunday, September 11 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Sunday, September 11 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 | Union SG | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Charleroi | 8 | 0 | 12 |
Last Game: Malmo 2-1 Norrkoping
Sunday, September 11 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Sunday, September 11 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Hammarby | 21 | 22 | 38 |
| 5 | Malmo | 22 | 9 | 37 |
| 6 | Kalmar | 22 | 7 | 37 |
We said: Union SG 2-1 Malmo
Les Unionistes were far more impressive in the opening round of fixtures, and in front of a Belgian home crowd, we back them to prevail with a second straight victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Malmo |
47.66% ( -0) | 23.69% ( -0.05) | 28.64% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.25% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
