Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ullevaal Stadion
We said: Norway 2-1 Georgia
Georgia are a lot better than they showed against Spain last time out, and we are expecting an improvement from Sagnol's side in this match. Norway have two of the best players in the Premier League in the shape of Odegaard and Haaland, though, and we are backing the duo to play a key part in a home win here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 68.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 12.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Norway in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norway.
| Result |
| Norway | Draw | Georgia |
68.31% ( -0.25) | 19.39% ( 0.09) | 12.3% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 46.06% ( 0.19) |
| 53.68% ( -0.01) | 46.32% ( 0) |
| 31.39% ( -0.01) | 68.61% ( 0) |
| 87.49% ( -0.08) | 12.51% ( 0.07) |
