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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Birmingham
0 - 1
Plymouth


Woods (28'), Friend (58'), Aneke (90+6')
Friend (68')
FT
(aet)
Law (104')
Houghton (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Birmingham City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We say: Birmingham City 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

Birmingham City will likely head into this match as the favourites, purely because of the league that they are in, but when it comes to form this season, that should not be the case. The Blues have struggled at points in this campaign, and that lack of confidence could end up costing them, providing Plymouth the chance to cause an upset. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%).

Result
Birmingham CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
38.57%26.79%34.64%
Both teams to score 51.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.38%53.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88%75.12%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92%27.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.55%62.45%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58%29.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.58%65.41%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 38.57%
    Plymouth Argyle 34.64%
    Draw 26.79%
Birmingham CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 6.8%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.18%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 38.57%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 7.97%
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 9.75%
1-2 @ 7.79%
0-2 @ 5.96%
1-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 34.64%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Plymouth

Birmingham City
33.3%
Draw
13.3%
Plymouth Argyle
53.3%
45
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2013 7.45pm
Round One
Birmingham
3-2
Plymouth
Allan (48', 84'), Bartley (92')
Alessandra (61', 90')
Apr 13, 2009 3pm
Birmingham
1-1
Plymouth
Queudrue (50')
Jaidi (41'), Jerome (57'), Johnson (86')
Taylor (23')
Gallagher (26' pen.)
Barnes (20'), Gray (49'), Fletcher (81')
Dec 9, 2008 3pm
Dec 2, 2006 3pm
Nov 4, 2006 3pm
Plymouth
0-1
Birmingham
Jaidi (75')
Muamba (26'), Jerome (37'), Clemence (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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