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Bristol Rovers
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers
7 - 2
Whitby

Marquis (5'), Thomas (18'), Brown (21'), Evans (40' pen.), A. (66' og.), Vale (70'), Collins (77')
Bogarde (90+2')
FT(HT: 4-1)
J. (13+13'), Simpson (59')
Beeden (15'), Simpson (73'), Gratton (73')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Bristol Rovers and Whitby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Northampton
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Whitby
Thursday, July 26 at 7.30pm in Pre-Season Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 72.54%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Whitby Town had a probability of 11.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Whitby Town win it was 1-2 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawWhitby Town
72.54%16.13%11.33%
Both teams to score 54.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.4%33.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.59%55.41%
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.94%8.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.66%28.34%
Whitby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.35%40.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.76%77.24%
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 72.53%
    Whitby Town 11.33%
    Draw 16.13%
Bristol RoversDrawWhitby Town
2-0 @ 10.38%
2-1 @ 9.35%
3-0 @ 8.72%
1-0 @ 8.25%
3-1 @ 7.85%
4-0 @ 5.49%
4-1 @ 4.95%
3-2 @ 3.53%
5-0 @ 2.77%
5-1 @ 2.49%
4-2 @ 2.23%
6-0 @ 1.16%
5-2 @ 1.12%
6-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 72.53%
1-1 @ 7.42%
2-2 @ 4.21%
0-0 @ 3.27%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 16.13%
1-2 @ 3.34%
0-1 @ 2.95%
0-2 @ 1.33%
2-3 @ 1.26%
1-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 11.33%

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