MX23RW : Thursday, October 31 23:10:26| >> :60:97:97:
Millwall logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2022 at 12.45pm UK
The Den
Crystal Palace logo

Millwall
1 - 2
Crystal Palace

Afobe (17')
Mitchell (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Olise (46'), Mateta (58')
Schlupp (26'), Butland (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Millwall and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Millwall 1-2 Crystal Palace (a.e.t)

Millwall may sense an opportunity for an upset here given Palace's AFCON absentees, but the Eagles still have the talent in the front line to help them avoid an early exit. Eze and Olise will be out to make statements of intent during their time to shine, but Palace's dire form away from home and Millwall's strength at The Den means that extra time could very well be required. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Crystal Palace in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Crystal Palace.

Result
MillwallDrawCrystal Palace
36.58%26%37.41%
Both teams to score 54.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.82%50.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.86%72.14%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41%26.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.18%61.81%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88%26.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81%61.19%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 36.58%
    Crystal Palace 37.41%
    Draw 26%
MillwallDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 9.2%
2-1 @ 8.18%
2-0 @ 6.09%
3-1 @ 3.61%
3-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 36.58%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 6.95%
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 9.33%
1-2 @ 8.29%
0-2 @ 6.26%
1-3 @ 3.71%
0-3 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 2.46%
1-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.41%

How you voted: Millwall vs Crystal Palace

Millwall
16.0%
Draw
10.0%
Crystal Palace
74.0%
100
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2020 2pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Millwall
0-1
Crystal Palace
Meyer (28')
Oct 20, 2012 1pm
Crystal Palace
2-2
Millwall
Delaney (39'), Jedinak (35')
Moxey (5'), Zaha (55'), Delaney (69'), Bolasie (72'), Jedinak (87')
Moxey (43')
Beevers (77'), Trotter (42' pen.)
Trotter (17'), Dunne (25'), Abdou (29'), Smith (32'), Shittu (38')
Dec 31, 2011 1pm
Nov 26, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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