MX23RW : Thursday, October 31 22:17:42| >> :60:60:60:
Barcelona logo
Friendlies
Jul 24, 2022 at 4am UK
Spotify Camp Nou
Real Madrid logo

Barcelona
0 - 1
Real Madrid


Vazquez (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Raphinha (27')
Christensen (34'), Alba (43'), Busquets (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's pre-season clash between Barcelona and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Barcelona could line up in Saturday's pre-season friendly with Real Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Barcelona 2-2 Real Madrid

Matches between Barcelona and Real Madrid are always important affairs, and there are a number of talking points surrounding this fixture despite it being a pre-season friendly. It has all of the makings of an open and entertaining fixture, and we are expecting a high-scoring draw to take place in Las Vegas. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.75%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
BarcelonaDrawReal Madrid
36.59% (0.239 0.24) 23.47% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06) 39.94% (-0.177 -0.18)
Both teams to score 63.42% (0.267 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.69% (0.337 0.34)38.3% (-0.337 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.41% (0.35599999999999 0.36)60.58% (-0.357 -0.36)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (0.271 0.27)21.15% (-0.271 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.98% (0.42 0.42)54.01% (-0.421 -0.42)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (0.063999999999993 0.06)19.56% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.52% (0.102 0.1)51.48% (-0.103 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona 36.59%
    Real Madrid 39.94%
    Draw 23.46%
BarcelonaDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 8.15% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.43% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.22% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 36.59%
1-1 @ 10.48% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.14% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.87% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.51% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.61% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.9%
2-4 @ 1.47% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 39.94%

How you voted: Barcelona vs Real Madrid

Barcelona
49.7%
Draw
9.2%
Real Madrid
41.2%
153
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 8pm
Real Madrid
0-4
Barcelona

Kroos (22'), Modric (63'), Camavinga (82'), Vazquez (88')
Aubameyang (29', 51'), Araujo (38'), Torres (47')
de Jong (26'), Busquets (31'), Alba (74'), Gonzalez (88')
Jan 12, 2022 7pm
Barcelona
2-3
Real Madrid
De Jong (41'), Fati (83')
Torres (23'), Alves (51')
Junior (25'), Benzema (72'), Valverde (98')
Casemiro (75'), Valverde (99')
Oct 24, 2021 3.15pm
Barcelona
1-2
Real Madrid
Aguero (90+7')
Pique (58')
Alaba (32'), Vazquez (90+3')
Mendy (80')
Apr 10, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
2-1
Barcelona
Benzema (13'), Kroos (28')
Nacho (69'), Casemiro (89')
Casemiro (90')
Mingueza (60')
Pedri (23'), Araujo (26'), Alba (84'), Koeman (85')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Barcelona
1-3
Real Madrid
Fati (8')
Lenglet (29'), Alba (62'), Messi (90+1')
Valverde (5'), Ramos (63' pen.), Modric (90')
Casemiro (19'), Nacho (37')
rhs 2.0
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2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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