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Club Friendlies
Jul 22, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Multifunktionsarena Erfurt
Dortmund logo

Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1 - 2
Dortmund

Elva (23')
Moritz (9')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hazard (80'), Wolf (86')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 1 Club Friendlies clash between Rot-Weiss Erfurt and Borussia Dortmund.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rot-Weiss Erfurt

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Last Game: Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 12 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Oberhausen 2-3 Dortmund
Wednesday, July 19 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 82.79%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Rot-Weiss Erfurt had a probability of 6.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-3 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.02%) and 1-3 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.02%), while for a Rot-Weiss Erfurt win it was 2-1 (1.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Rot-Weiss ErfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
6.16% (-0.013 -0.01) 11.05% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01) 82.79% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.4% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.1% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)25.89% (0.032 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.92% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)46.07% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Rot-Weiss Erfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.85% (-0.07 -0.07)46.14% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.16% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)81.83% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)4.55% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.38% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)18.62% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rot-Weiss Erfurt 6.16%
    Borussia Dortmund 82.78%
    Draw 11.05%
Rot-Weiss ErfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 1.94% (-0.004 -0)
1-0 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 6.16%
1-1 @ 5.02%
2-2 @ 3% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 11.05%
0-3 @ 10.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.02% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 7.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 7.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.49% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 6.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 4.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-5 @ 3.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-6 @ 2.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 2.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-6 @ 1.96% (-0.002 -0)
2-5 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
0-7 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.77%
Total : 82.78%

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