MX23RW : Tuesday, May 7 20:57:03| >> :60:39:39:
Azerbaijan national football team
Friendlies 2
Mar 22, 2024 at 4pm UK
Tofiq Bahramov adina Respublika stadionu (Baki (Baku))
Mongolia national football team

Azerbaijan
1 - 0
Mongolia

Mustafazada (90+1')
Mustafaev (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Baljinnyam (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Azerbaijan and Mongolia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

All competitions
Last Game: Belgium 5-0 Azerbaijan
Sunday, November 19 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium81820
2Austria81019
3Sweden8210
4Azerbaijan8-107
5Estonia8-201

Mongolia

Last Game: Mongolia 0-1 Afghanistan
Tuesday, October 17 at 8am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Azerbaijan 3-0 Mongolia

 This is a tough ask for Mongolia, with Azerbaijan the heavy favourites on Friday night. Both managers will make use of their squads in this match, and with the hosts having the superior quality across the board, we are expecting them to comfortably triumph in this friendly encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 60.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Mongolia had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Mongolia win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Azerbaijan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Azerbaijan.

Result
AzerbaijanDrawMongolia
60.27% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 23.67% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 16.06% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 42.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.15% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)55.85% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.03% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)76.97% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)18.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)49.34% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Mongolia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.45% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)47.55% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.11% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)82.89% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Azerbaijan 60.27%
    Mongolia 16.06%
    Draw 23.67%
AzerbaijanDrawMongolia
1-0 @ 14.76%
2-0 @ 12.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 7.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 60.27%
1-1 @ 10.98%
0-0 @ 8.69% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 23.67%
0-1 @ 6.46%
1-2 @ 4.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 16.06%

How you voted: Azerbaijan vs Mongolia

Azerbaijan
68.8%
Draw
12.5%
Mongolia
18.8%
16
rhs 2.0
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