Friendlies 1
Nov 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Helsingin olympiastadion
We said: Germany 2-2 Turkey
This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, and we are expecting goals on Saturday. Turkey's qualification for Euro 2024 means that Montella should name a strong team here, and with a lot of attacking talent on both sides, we are predicting an entertaining draw this weekend.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 38.98% . A win for Turkey had a probability of 37.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7% .
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (5.5%) . The likeliest Turkey win was 1-2 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%) . The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood .
Result Germany Draw Turkey 38.98% ( 2.85) 23.74% ( -0.06) 37.28% ( -2.79)
Both teams to score 62.45% ( 0.34)
60.41% ( 0.4) 39.59% ( -0.4)
38.06% ( 0.41) 61.94% ( -0.41)
79.44% ( 1.59) 20.56% ( -1.59)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 46.92% ( 2.45) 53.08% ( -2.45)
78.62% ( -1.16) 21.38% ( 1.16)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.63% ( -1.83) 54.37% ( 1.83)
Germany 38.98%
Turkey 37.28%
Draw 23.73%
Germany Draw Turkey 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.35) 1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.34) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.94% Total : 38.98% 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.73% 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.35) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.49) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.36) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.28%
How you voted: Germany vs Turkey
51
rhs 2.0
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