MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 06:30:14| >> :60:137:137:
Mexico national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 8, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan (Mazatlan)
Guatemala national football team

Mexico
2 - 0
Guatemala

Jimenez (14' pen.), de la Rosa (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Saravia (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Mexico and Guatemala, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-1 Mexico
Thursday, April 20 at 3am in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Guatemala 4-0 French Guiana
Tuesday, March 28 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Mexico 2-0 Guatemala

We expect Mexico to have too much quality for Guatemala, who have failed to score in each of the last five meetings between these two teams. Cocca will expect his players to build momentum ahead of important fixtures in the Nations League and Gold Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 71.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 9.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.48%) and 3-0 (10.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Mexico in this match.

Result
MexicoDrawGuatemala
71.97% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 18.94% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 9.09% (0.0091000000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 36.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.27% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)52.73% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.63% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)74.36% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.63% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)13.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.73% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)40.26% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.44% (0.012 0.01)57.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.65% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)89.35% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 71.96%
    Guatemala 9.09%
    Draw 18.94%
MexicoDrawGuatemala
2-0 @ 15.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 15.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 5.26% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-1 @ 2.9% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-0 @ 2.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 71.96%
1-1 @ 8.55% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 7.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 2.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 18.94%
0-1 @ 4.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 2.36% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 9.09%

How you voted: Mexico vs Guatemala

Mexico
80.6%
Draw
6.5%
Guatemala
12.9%
31
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2022 1.30am
International Friendly
Mexico
0-0
Guatemala
Jul 15, 2021 2.30am
Oct 1, 2020 3am
Jul 13, 2015 2am
Group Stage
Guatemala
0-0
Mexico

Morales (11'), Aparicio (38'), Contreras (74'), Hernandez (78')
Contreras (78')

Aguilar (45'), Layun (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal37275589286186
2Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!